Saturday, February 2, 2013

VIMAL OIL AND FOODS - REPEAT



 
This stock earlier recommended in 2010 and appreciated reasonably over this period.You may ask why this small and relatively unknown company again near at its all time high price especially even  it belongs to a boring industry like –Edible Oil Manufacturing.This time it is due of some interesting developments  in this company .When I recommend it in 2010 ,  even if its name indicates some activities directly  related with food ,it was mainly an Edible oil maker .As you are aware Edible oil is an volume driven industry where profit margins are very thin.After hiking their stake through a preferential issue and an open offer , now the promoters are moving in the right direction.Slowly they are now transforming this company from mere  an edible oil producer to a food company  in true sense .Leveraging on its  good brand image and large marketing network across India  ( except south) which consists  of 50 depots, 1500 distributors and over 5 lakhs retail outlets  company now moving into value added products.
                                           As I mentioned earlier , this company  is a Gujarat based Edible oil maker producing Groundnut ,Mustrad,Sunflower,Cotton Seed, Soya bean ,Rice bran and Corn oil under ‘Vimal’ Brand.Since my readers are already aware about its edible oil business through my earlier posting  ,I am not repeating it here.Let us go through the recent developments .

                                                       First of all ,In last week company decided to subscribe 31,20,000 equity shares of Vimal Dairy ltd – a company owned by the same promoters. By this purchase Vimal Oil will hold 52 % stake in Vimal Dairy and it will be a Subsidiary of the listed entity.Vimal Dairy is one of the largest  private sector dairy in Gujarat  with a milk processing capacity of two lakh litre  milk per day.Company is now planning to hike its capacity from 2 lakh LPD to 5 lakh LPD in near future.Considering the valuations of certain deals materialized in dairy industry in recent past this valuation is reasonable .Along with milk ,company selling many value added products like Cheese,Paneer,Butter ,Flavoured milk and Ice Cream under ‘Vimal’ brand.( Link to Company’s Ice Cream division HERE)

 
In another development ,Vimal is now planning to introduce dairy alternatives to target people who are not in a position to use dairy items due to health issues related with life style diseases. Company  will launch tofu to substitute paneer, soya cheese and rice cheese to replace cheese, margarine to replace butter, soya cheese spreads against cheese spread and soya mozzarella against mozzarella.Out of this margarine is already introduced under the brand ‘Vimal lite’. Market for these type products are now limited in India but growing at good pace. Health conscious life style will increase the penetration of these products going forward and the sales trend we are experiencing in developed countries are extremely positive for these items.

In another forward step ,recently Vimal  decided  to enter in the snacks and frozen food category .Company will launch more than 20 snacks products under ‘Vimal Fresh’ brand in another three months.An investment of with a cost of Rs. 100 Cr is implementing  for this division.Frozen food brands will be launched by 2015.( Read latest update  HERE) .There is lot of opportunities as well as challenges in both these categories.Company already established good network even in remote villages for its milk collection and edible oil selling .This will be an added advantage for its new ventures.
Share holding and Financials.
                                               Company having an equity base of Rs.11.5 Cr .Out of these almost 75% stake is held by promoters and  related parties (including 5% shown in public category) .Not a single share pledged so far .It is interesting to see that even this company having an equity of Rs.11.5 Cr its entire shares are held by just 2000+ share holders .About the financials ,Vimal posted a turnover of Rs.1248 Cr , a net profit of Rs.6 Cr  and an EPS of Rs.5.5in last FY.Even its cash flow is not very robust ,company never skipped dividend for the last 13 years.  

I believe, company is now planning to reduce the quantum of  edible oil business  mainly due to its low margin nature  and mounting sundry debtors  position and decidedt to concentrate in  high margin ( compared with edible oil) value added food products.For this expansion we can  expect some fund raising  in near future . Its  recent decision to take stake in dairy business is a step to increase the quality of its balance sheet for this purpose . Purely on financial parameters, this stock is not suitable for low risk investors.But I think the promoters realised the bad shape of their present business and balance sheet  and started treatment at the right time.These type business acumen and flexibility is very important for the success of any business.I believe ,leveraging on their vast experience and already established infrastructure  and marketing network  Vimal will become a food company in true sense in another few years .Since my above opinion is based only on  some assumptions  and readings from the body language of the promoters ,some of their recent decisions and not on any numbers,I am not recommending this stock for those who are die-hard fans of investment theories ,equations  and ratios  but only for very high risk kind  investors.CMP is Rs.109 /-


Link to Company Website HERE 

Link to latest Annual Report HERE

25 comments :

  1. sir,
    what is your view on
    ARSHIYA INTERNATIONAL LTD & Shiv Vani Oil.
    which is the best to long term investment?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Issues related with both these companies are available in the public domain.Take a call based on your risk profile.

      Delete
  2. Dear VP sir, can I PetLNG @cmp for long term?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Expecting reasonable appreciation ,but only in long run

      Delete
  3. hello sir
    i want to invest in pcs technology after recent development in the company .waht do u say?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This stock already covered ,no change in previous opinion.

      Delete
  4. Dear VP Sir,

    I want to know more about granules. Sir whether they complele the trial run on FD, PFI completed, and one more thing they mentioned that their expansion will be completed on 2014 whether it is JV with Ajinamoto. I have invested in this scrip last year after reading your valuable posting. I hold 1940 shares at an avg of 138, last few weeks this share correct sharply is it any problem in the results, your valuable thought on this scrip.

    Regards

    Sunny

    ReplyDelete
  5. Expansion for FD and PFI could not completed as Scheduled .This is expected to complete in another six months .In addition to this ,Company forced to spend additional Rs.4 Cr to run diesel generators in last quarter due to power shortage in AP .Last quarter's not so good performance was not due to lower demand but mainly because of these type reasons.Hope things will improve by FY 2013-14.

    ReplyDelete
  6. dear vp. pls share ur views on bhartiya international.

    ReplyDelete
  7. International travel house -your old recommendation. Should we consider it now ?

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hi Sir..
    where to get NSE disclousers abt any stock.. Like u updated abt Panacea shares bot by Sierem Inst. There was no info on BSE abt it..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It was in NSE bulk deal data ,not in disclosure .If you need the disclosure ,first take the 'Quote' and then select company information ->view all

      Delete
  9. sir,
    your view about Atul auto at cmp

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Company is continuously outperforming the industry.Company planning to start manufacturing facility in Sri Lanka .If you are still holding it .Hold now and review when we get the details about new capex plan.

      Delete
  10. Dear VPji, again Eon Electric posted a loss.
    Do you think we should quit or hold on???

    ReplyDelete
  11. Dear Sir,
    I am really grateful to you for your selfless service to investors, I would like to know your opinion about 3m India . Is it a right stock to buy .

    ReplyDelete
  12. Dear Value pick ji
    Opto circuits is falling relentlessly. Has there been any pledged share sle or is there any fraud in the company? i have been invested since 145 and stock is at 50% of it purchase price

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Expressed my opinion at least five times after the price crash

      Delete
  13. Hello Sir,

    What's happening with Tayo Rolls? Is it time to exit or you maintain a HOLD on it?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  14. Dear VP - what is happening to vimal oil currently? What has changed fundamentally since your recommendation 2 years back?

    ReplyDelete

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