Friday, September 17, 2010

THE FACT SHEET

Dear Readers

My blog is seven months old now .Thanks for all, for
your overwhelming support and participation.I have
heared a lot of praise and curse during this short span
and taking the good side of both alike.Many of our
readers are requesting for a review of past
recommendations especially about the laggards.
So I am taking this opportunity to re look into
my past recommendations .
By god's grace  most of our scrips performed well ,but
don't forget it was a good bull market and we can't expect
such a performance every time.But my strong belief is that
- if a company is growing ,irrespective of the nature of
market ,shares of such companies will deliver reasonable
return in long term -and all my recommendations are
based on this.

Table 1 includes the companies which are recommended
in the past and still ruling  above the recommended price .
Companies now ruling below recommended price are
included in table 2 with current opinion on such scrips.
Percentage of return is NOT annualized.
------------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE - 1

SCRIP NAME      REC          HIGH    %RETURN
                          PRICE         SINCE   ON HIGH
                                              REC.
---------------------------------------
SANGAL PAPER       17         48         182
INTERLINK PET       33         92         178
JK AGRIGENETICS  170      444        161
SIMRAN FARMS      30        75           150
UT LTD                      17         41        141
RAM RAT WIRE       48       115          139
SIYARAM SILK      168       397           136
WINDSOR MACH   35          77           120
SPICE MOBILES     40          88          120
ABM KNOW           45          99            120
CHOLAMAND        82        179            118
TASTY BITE          165        352          113
ATUL AUTO          71          150           111
YUKEN INDIA    140          280             100
POLY MEDIC      130          250              92
GUJ RECLAIM    730          1399             91
ARIES AGRO      108          204               88
JAGATJIT IND    65            122                87
ITL IND               54              99                83
PIRAMAL GL      78            138                76
YUKEN INDIA  160           280                  75
MAKERS LAB    35             61                   74
ORIENTAL CA    93           161                  73
TRANSPEK IND 100          173                  73
JINDAL HOTEL   47            81                   72
ROTO PUMP       80           137                  71
SHIRPUR GOLD  161         275                 70
PIONEER INV     52             88                  69
CALI SOFT          41             69                  68
ARMAN FIN        21             35                  66
RISHI LAZER       52             84                 61
ARUNJYOTI EN  98           158                 61
KIRLOSKAR P  402           648                 61
AHLCON PAR     64          103                  60
INFOTREK SYS  23             37                 60
TALWALKER     162           260                60
APCOTEX IND   112         178                  58
KOPRAN LTD    29              46                 58
STERLING TOO 97              153               57
ITHL                  165            260                 57
STERLING STR  7                11                 57
KLRF                 23                36                56
SRI ADHIKARI 32                50                56
SUKHJIT ST    169              264                56
CHOKSI IMA    47                73                55
GOVIND RUB   17                26                52
MEDICAMEN   25                 38               52
BHARAT RASA 80               121              51
ASTEC LIFE       57                 86             50
CENLUBE IND   20                 30            50
SUMEDHA FIS   24                 36            50
KENNA MET    350                520           48
NILE LTD           115               169           47
IGARSHI            60                    88           46
GEI IND              120               175           45
ITL IND               69                   99           43
APAR INDS       150                284           43
TIMKEN IND     125               179           43
VIJAY SHANTHI 35                 50           42
NET 4 INDIA     109                 155          42
MAZDA LTD      98                  138          40
JYOTI LTD         82                  114          39
COSMO FER    13                     18           38
EPC IND            61                     84          37
INDSIL HY        76                   104          36
BHAGWATIAU 34                     46          35
WIRESANDFAB  110                148        34
LAKSHMI ELE    238                318         33
VESUVIUS       251                    328        30
VIMAL OIL        60                    76          26
ADANI POWER   114                144        26
MUKAND ENG    48                  60          25
LOKESH MACHINE    49          61          24
KULKARNI POWER    83       103          24
ORCHID CHEM    161             197          22
FORTIS HEAL    138               168           21
CONART ENG    28                  34            21
DR AGARWALS    71                86           21
FLUIDOMAT    29                     35           20
SRINIVASA HATCH    118    142            20
MULTIBASE INDIA    35          42           20
ACRYSIL            128               153           19
JSW ENERGY    115                136           18
KAVERI SEEDCO   272           321          18
APM INDUSTRIES    69             81          17
VELJAN DENISON    375        435          16
MODI NATURALS    14             16          14
SUPERHOUSE    62                    70          12
ALPHAGEO    215                     242         12
PUNJAB CHEM     135              150         11
SALONA COTSPIN    29             32        10
RELIGARE TECH    85                 93          9
GANDHIMATHIAPPL 73             79         8
          


AT LEAST PARTIAL PROFIT BOOKING SUGGESTED IN INTERLINK PETRO

           THE LAGGARDS

TABLE - 2              
  SCRIP          REC  HI    CMP        %             
              
INDAGE VIN  52     53     25            -51
SIKA INTE   70       74      53            -24

SICAL       85         104      66           -22
BHAG CHEM   70   91       55          -21
RUNGTA IRR  58   66        47         -18
RAGHAV IND  59   69       51         -13
ALPHAGEO  215    242   190           -11
DHP INDIA   41      46       37          -9
KIR ELE     84      106         76         -9
GOA CARBON  111    120 101      -9
TECH POL    23    23  21                 -8
VXL INST    32    33  30                  -6
LANCO IND   65    80  62                -4
JAY USHIN   159    169 153              -3
HARITHA SEA 99    119 97              -2
CATVISION   16    18  16                  0
CHAMAN LAL  44    53  44               0
AMCO INDIA  35    48  35                 0

--------------------------------------------------------------
EXPLANATIONS

1) INDAGE VINTNERS


At the time of recommendation itself ,it is clearly
mentioned that it is  only for high risk takers.Even if the
CDR package is approvred ,despite several attemps
company officials are not giving any clue about the
future course of action.
So it is very difficult to make a call at this juncture.
So extreme risk takers can continue
and others may book loss.

2)SIKA INTERPLANT

share price come down because of bad June qtr
performance,considering its niche status and ongoing expansion
cum modernization plans ,one can HOLD it for long term.

3)ALPHAGEO

Share price is below the rec.price mainly because of
negative out look of oil and related space in
short/medium term
A good company ,HOLD and BUYon decline.

4)BHAGIRATHA CHEMICALS

Earlier requested for an exit at Rs.61/-

5)DHP INDIA

June qtr result was not upto the mark,wait for few more
qtrs.before taking a final decision on it.


6)THE REST (from table -2)- hold for the time being and review
after Sep results.



Once again thanks for all and wishing a happy investing.
If need any clarification,mail to me at valuepick@rediffmail.com

22 comments :

  1. Hi Valuepick,

    You are doing a great job man.
    I sincerely appreciate your efforts in really finding good hidden gems.
    I will tell you because of your selfless attitude you have achieved lot of good admirers.
    Keep up the good work.

    Regards,
    Vikas

    ReplyDelete
  2. Great
    one of the few analysts with the heart and the balls to acknowledge your mistakes
    and the sucesses ........ the rates speak for themselves
    KEEP IT UP
    rajesh
    PS WHO IS WE I THT VALUE BLOG WAS A ONE MAN SHOW ooops why am i assuming your a man lol
    also a small suggestion MORE FOLLOW UP articles on previous posts

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hello ,

    There are very few people who disucss the Laggards in their blog, they always try to show off their success. I am very happy that you are discussing your laggards also (which are less in #) and standing by it.

    I have a Q here:
    It is said that in a portfolio you should not have more than 10 stocks. How do you do your buying ?
    Do you buy all that you discuss here ?

    Regards
    Nipi

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi Valuepick,

    It would be great that apart from hidden scrips.....we would also love to hear your thoughts about Investment strategies and process of good portfolio building methodology.
    In short lets make this blog a perfect knowledge hub which will really help small investors.
    Please consider this a request....

    Regards,
    Vikas

    ReplyDelete
  5. hai value
    if u see whole portfolio u can imagine wat return its giving..its awesome.. no one match this performance...i m just following from few weeks..
    but its look awesome..
    valuepick can u give me your view on vimta labs.. i have bought at 33rs.. cmp 32 from 6 months its not moving..
    one more thing do tell me abt ur name n wer u from..
    thanx

    ReplyDelete
  6. I have purchased deccan gold mines and IKF TECH.
    Do you see any prospect in long term in them?
    Please guide

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hi Value pick ,

    OMG , so frank you are and that is d reason y u r so close to the visitors of your blog , they get ADDICTED TO YOUR BLOG . So frank , you have published the RIGHTS/WRONG CALL with the explanation ,Why no need for that , no body is 100% CORRECT IN THIS WORLD . Moreover you are not responsible for the circumastancies beyond your conrtol !!!!!!

    I like your blog , visiting since last 2 month,.BRAVO !!!! Can I have your view on HIND NATIONAL GLASS ?? BUY,HOLD OR AVOID ??

    ReplyDelete
  8. Dear Nipi
    I believe each and every investor have their own preferences regarding Sectors,Management group,price rage ..etc.I am just presenting my ideas .I think before active on any recommendations investors will make their own study.save retailers from cut throat speculation and make them aware the basic facts of companies where the are investing , is the only aim of my blog.Since my pockets are not so deep ,even if I like to BUY all recommended scrips,it is not possible.But I assure you that ,I will never post anything which I dislike to Buy.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Dear Vikas
    Your idea is good ,let us think about it when time permits.Currently I have some other engagements too.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  10. Dear djchandan

    Vimta lab is trading at a P/E above 30,which is not cheap.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Dear VV

    Deccan gold promoters are selling their shares in open market in every rise ,which is really not a good sign.Industry has a fancy and may get fancy valuation for some more time.but I think ,chances are very rare to materialize the business.Regarding IKF,not able to predict share price ,because it is an operator driven counter. But I believe this IKF group is fraud.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Dear Mahesh

    Hind. Nat Glass is a HOLD

    ReplyDelete
  13. thank you sir for ur reply.
    Can i invest in MOSERBAER, XL TELECOM AND TANLA SOLUTION FOR 2 YEARS @ CMP?

    ReplyDelete
  14. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Dear VV
    If ready to take high risk,moser may be considered .No opinion on XL tele and Tanla

    ReplyDelete
  16. Any reason for "no opinion on XL tele and Tanla", sir ?

    ReplyDelete
  17. Dear Sir,

    Its a feeling of deep satisfaction inside you, that I am able to see through. You have been doing a Wonderful job of sharing knowledge! Pl keep it up.
    With all best wishes for your personal life,
    Atul

    ReplyDelete
  18. Dear Atul
    Thanks Atul for your kind words ,everything is god's grace than our ability.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Dear Valuepick,

    I have 100 shares of Sical logistics @ Rs 87. What I have to do now? please advise.

    Regards
    Manjunath

    ReplyDelete
  20. Hi VP,

    I have just recently come across your blog. Since then have been following regularly and appreciate your efforts here.

    I have a couple of queries.

    1) What are your views on RNRL? If some one already has exposure in the counter, should he book losses or wait for RPOWER shares to be allotted?

    2) What's your current views on Vijay Shanthi Builders? Do you think they are still a hold or possibly book profit?

    Would be grateful for your advice on these.

    Cheers,
    Sumit

    ReplyDelete
  21. Sir,,,wats the news on lanco industries..is it a good stock.whats your target for short and long term

    ReplyDelete

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